QUICK UPDATE

Lately I’ve spent some more time looking into AF, WWSF and WTSD, and it made me rethink parts of my strategy.

I’ve mentioned before that I tend to play fairly simple strategies. I’m not a huge theory guy or someone who constantly thinks in super complex ranges and tries to solve every spot live at the table. What I’m better at is recognizing patterns and remembering things well. I prefer thinking about how I want to approach certain spots away from the tables.

One thing I realized is that a lot of my “thin” value bets are probably slightly -EV in reality, or at least very marginal compared to checking. The bets themselves are rarely going to be outright bad, but they’re often not max EV either. For a long time I assumed that if you have top pair and bet/call two streets, you can’t really be making a huge mistake. Same thing when villains check, I often felt like betting can’t be that wrong.

Whether it’s second pair or third pair, it’ll probably be fine somehow. Going forward I want to build my betting ranges in a much more polarized way and stop putting money into the pot too carelessly just because I have the initiative and a bet is “probably okay.”