Recapping Yesterday's Sweat and Finding Value on Today's World Cup Board

We went to war with the bookies yesterday on that Canada vs. Bosnia match, and if you locked in the totals like we talked about, you’re sitting on a nice little profit this morning. We split the card, the halftime draw got completely ruined when Bosnia found the back of the net early in the 20th minute, but that Under 2.5 goals line was an absolute lock. When Canada equalizer stepped up in the 77th to make it 1-1, the defensive shells hardened up just like we predicted, and the under cashed with zero sweat at the final whistle.

While we were sleeping off that win, the USMNT went out and absolutely dismantled Paraguay 4-1 in LA. Folarin Balogun looked completely unstoppable out there with a clinical first-half brace, and Gio Reyna closing things out with a filthy curler in stoppage time was just the cherry on top. If you caught the live lines on the U.S. alternative spread, you are flying right now.  

But we don’t stare at yesterday’s cash slips. We lock in for today’s massive double-header. First up, Qatar squares off against Switzerland, and then heavyweights Brazil take on Morocco in New Jersey.  

The public is going to blindly hammer Brazil tonight just because of the star power on the shirt, but do not sleep on this Morocco squad. They are incredibly stubborn defensively and love playing the spoiler role on the world stage. Instead of laying heavy, unplayable juice on the Brazil Moneyline, look hard at the Morocco +1.5 Asian Handicap or the Under 2.5 goals. It’s going to be way tighter than the casuals think. For the early game, Switzerland's veteran tournament experience should easily carry them against Qatar, lock in the Swiss Moneyline and keep it simple.