The NBA Finals Game 3 Fallout – How to Bet the Adjusted Series Price

The dust has officially settled on Game 3 at Madison Square Garden, and as expected, the sportsbooks are completely overhauling their futures lines today. Whether you backed the Knicks to maintain their chokehold or took the points with the Spurs last night, today (June 10) presents a unique, short-lived window to exploit the Series Handicap market before Game 4 arrives.

When a series hits the 2-1 or 3-0 mark, the recreational betting public goes into absolute overdrive, making emotional bets based entirely on what they saw last night.

The Market Inefficiency Today

Right now, the bookies are pricing the remaining games based on the assumption that home-court advantage is everything. But NBA playoff history shows us that tactical adjustments between Games 3 and 4 are usually the most drastic of the entire series.

My Betting Angle for the Next 24 Hours

Look at the Alternate Series Spread: Instead of betting on individual game lines for Game 4, look at the adjusted series correct score markets today. If the public has driven the Knicks' odds to an unplayable premium, there is massive value in backing the series to go 6 or 7 total games.

The Zig-Zag Theory: If a team got completely dominated in the paint last night, the coaching adjustments today will focus heavily on clogging the lane and forcing outside shots. Keep an eye on under lines for starting centers and look for value on corner-three specialist player props the moment they drop.