Would you play this differently?
Had an interesting spot yesterday and curious how you’d play it.
Late stages of an MTT, around 30 left. Blinds 2k/4k. I’ve got about 55bb.
I open CO with A♥ Q♥. Button (covers me slightly, active reg) calls.
Flop: Q♣ 9♠ 6♦. Pretty standard. I c-bet small, he calls.
Turn: 8♠. Bit more connected now. I go for a second barrel, slightly bigger. He thinks and calls again.
River: 7♠.
Board completes a lot - straights, flushes. I check. He jams.
This is where it gets close. My hand is strong, but the runout is rough and his line is consistent with value.
I ended up making a decision, but I’m more interested how you see it.
Are you calling this off or finding a fold here?
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Completely depends on my reads on villain - what ive seen them show in up with in previous all ins vs me or other opponents and the way the action sounds the pots only 6 bigs on the flop - 10 bigs on the turn if you bet small and then lets say you bet near pot it would be nearly 30 bigs with you having invested roughly half the pot and you have 40 BIGS behind at the river. To me it would be a clear fold - villain is repping a rivered flush with a jam or a bluff and we have enough future game with 40 bigs to not even worry about it - maybe just bet big on the flop next time and charge those flush / str8 draws HUGE on the turn. What did you end up doing? I have a feeling you called and got shown the bad news but im hoping you folded and won the tournament!
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